A new poll from Emerson College shows that Vice President JD Vance currently has a small lead over three Democrats who may run for president in 2028.
While Vance is currently positioned as the Republican party’s likely candidate for the next presidential election, former transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., are all potential Democratic opposition.
According to Emerson College’s poll, which surveyed 1,400 registered U.S. voters between July 21 and 22, Vance has a slight edge over all three politicians, although it’s the closest race between Vance and Buttigieg.
In a hypothetical 2028 presidential election, 44% of voters would support Vance, while 43% would support Buttigieg. In a similar hypothetical, 41% of voters would support Ocasio-Cortez, in comparison to 44% for Vance; in a Newsom-Vance matchup, 42% would cast their ballot for Newsom, and 45% would opt for Vance.
In all three hypothetical elections, 13-15% of voters remained undecided.
“A key takeaway from the ballot tests is that about 13% of the electorate remains persuadable, while the other 87% have already settled on a party preference,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.
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