It’s still years away from the 2028 Democratic presidential primary but a new poll finds that voters don’t see Former Vice President Kamala Harris as their top pick.
A poll from Emerson College released Friday found that former South Bend Mayor and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is the number one choice for Democratic primary voters in a hypothetical race.
Among respondents who identify as Democratic primary voters, 16% said that they would support Buttigieg, while 13% said they would choose Harris as the nominee.
But the poll identified a potential problem for Buttigeig when Primary time comes around: he had 0% support from Black voters.
This isn’t the first time Buttigieg has led a 2028 poll of Democratic candidates. A poll released by Atlas Intel on May 30 found Buttigieg as the top candidate among Democratic primary voters.
The third most popular pick for Democrats is Gov. Gavin Newsom of California, at 12%, followed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-NY, and Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, at 7% each, according to the poll. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-VT, who ran and lost in both the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries for president ranked fifth, with 5% of voters saying they would support the 83-year-old senator.
While the Emerson poll finds Buttigieg as the front-runner in a hypothetical matchup, the largest group of Democrats polled — 23% — were undecided about who they would choose to run for president.
Black, high school-educated voters back Harris
The candidate who polled best among Black voters is Kamala Harris, with 30.1% of respondents indicating their support for her, according to the poll
Harris also performed well among voters with a high school education or less, with 23.9% of voters in that category backing her — more than any other Democratic candidate.
Buttigieg, meanwhile, performed best among white voters (22.1%) and college graduates (20.1%). He also led among voters who have a vocational/technical school education (12.7%), among those with an associate degree (18.5%), and among those with a postgraduate education or higher (12.7%)
In terms of Black voters, the poll found Buttigieg earning 0% support.
Newsom, the third most popular pick among Democrats, did best among Latino voters (21.1%) and Asian voters (13.4%), according to the poll.
Middle-aged voters like Buttigieg, younger voters like Ocasio-Cortez
Buttigieg also performed best among middle-aged voters. He was the favorite among voters aged 40-49 years old (15.2%) and those aged 50-59 years old (21.2%). He was also popular among voters aged 70 and older (20%). Among voters aged 60-69, Newsom was the leader, with 18.3% of respondents in that age range supporting the California governor.
Among voters aged 18-29, Ocasio-Cortez was the most popular choice, with 22.7% of voters backing the New York congresswoman. Harris was the most popular among those aged 30-39, with 18.7% saying they would back her in a presidential campaign.
The Emerson College poll was conducted from June 24 to 25, 2025. There were 404 people who answered the questions about Democratic candidates.
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